Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.279657 2.605614 2.962827 3.383538 3.865766 4.401573 5.042567
2025-08-03 1.755398 2.189700 2.709489 3.378335 4.217651 5.238030 6.575874
2025-08-10 1.457911 1.930239 2.530575 3.351398 4.447649 5.865815 7.847254
2025-08-17 1.239993 1.723199 2.368176 3.294855 4.597279 6.370342 8.980883
2025-08-24 1.113283 1.613615 2.310501 3.356011 4.892485 7.079775 10.451930
2025-08-31 1.009601 1.519303 2.256743 3.406750 5.165760 7.772435 11.961330
2025-09-07 0.905897 1.410318 2.165664 3.385692 5.320895 8.295445 13.259924
2025-09-14 0.809564 1.300241 2.058601 3.323743 5.398917 8.698144 14.400863
2025-09-21 0.734076 1.213841 1.977584 3.290891 5.513914 9.162141 15.679677
2025-09-28 0.665842 1.131464 1.893521 3.241744 5.592396 9.567097 16.892478
2025-10-05 0.654076 1.141742 1.961978 3.454469 6.133894 10.800555 19.671024
2025-10-12 0.610961 1.093299 1.925328 3.479189 6.345510 11.476753 21.514697
2025-10-19 0.579254 1.066212 1.930675 3.593648 6.757597 12.602110 24.417419
2025-10-26 0.531735 1.006260 1.872779 3.589082 6.955692 13.370334 26.767217
2025-11-02 0.486942 0.946007 1.807031 3.560378 7.100896 14.048909 29.017258
2025-11-09 0.443626 0.883635 1.730196 3.500217 7.174722 14.591820 31.052599
2025-11-16 0.419225 0.855790 1.717042 3.565288 7.508497 15.692905 34.399015
2025-11-23 0.395932 0.827548 1.699819 3.619276 7.823830 16.788781 37.870738
2025-11-30 0.367391 0.785294 1.649417 3.596869 7.971218 17.540674 40.664560
2025-12-07 0.337739 0.737542 1.582547 3.530954 8.014105 18.066234 43.000061
2025-12-14 0.313631 0.699352 1.532212 3.495999 8.122246 18.748584 45.791617
2025-12-21 0.290392 0.660715 1.476996 3.443708 8.183657 19.328652 48.406312
2025-12-28 0.289948 0.673836 1.538592 3.670053 8.932078 21.613844 55.583489